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United States · Congress

On the ballot
November 3

All 435 seats in the US House and 35 in the Senate. See who is running where you live, and how each one scores on liberty.

Pick your state

The vote is Tuesday, November 3.

Call the midterms

Who controls Congress in January? Play it out yourself in three steps.

Drag: how the country votesDemocrats by 8.6

Set it like a past year

SenateNeeds 51

5347

Democrats win the Senate

Democrats gain 6 seats (47 → 53)

HouseNeeds 218

236199

Democrats win the House

Democrats gain 22 seats (214 → 236)

See how the night could go

Call any race yourself: tap who wins

Which races

Iowa Senate: Josh Turek against Ashley Hinson, Tilt R
Kansas Senate: Adam Hamilton against Roger Marshall, Tilt D
Alaska Senate: Mary Peltola against Dan S. Sullivan, Tilt D
Ohio Senate (special): Sherrod Brown against Jon Husted, Tilt D
Texas Senate: James Talarico against Ken Paxton, Tilt D
Maine Senate: Troy Jackson against Susan Collins, Tilt D
South Carolina Senate: Annie Andrews against Darline Graham, Tilt R
Michigan Senate: Abdul El-Sayed against Mike Rogers, Lean D
Nebraska Senate: Dan Osborn against Pete Ricketts, Lean R
Minnesota Senate: Peggy Flanagan against Michele Tafoya, Likely D
New Hampshire Senate: Chris Pappas against John E. Sununu, Likely D
Florida Senate (special): Angie Nixon against Ashley Moody, Likely R
North Carolina Senate: Roy Cooper against Michael Whatley, Likely D
Georgia Senate: Jon Ossoff against Mike Collins, Likely D
Mississippi Senate: Scott Colom against Cindy Hyde-Smith, Likely R
Louisiana Senate: Jamie Davis against Julia Letlow, Likely R
Montana Senate: Alani Bankhead against Kurt Alme, Safe R
Kentucky Senate: Charles Booker against Andy Barr, Safe R
New Mexico Senate: Ben Ray Luján against Larry Marker, Safe D
South Dakota Senate: Brian Bengs against Mike Rounds, Safe R

How this works

Each race starts where forecasters rate it today, averaged: the Senate from 12 forecasters (Cook, DDHQ, Econ, FPO, Fox, IE, MS NOW, NBC, RCP, Sabato, Silver, ST, Nov 1, 2026 to Oct 29, 2026), the House from 10 (Cook, IE, Sabato, Econ., ST, DDHQ, FPO, Fox, Silver, RCP, Nov. 2, 2026 to Oct. 29, 2026), as listed on Wikipedia. A seat every forecaster calls safe is placed by its lean, the 2026 Cook Partisan Voting Index. The slider is the national vote for the House, Democrats minus Republicans: "Polls today" is the average of 5 polling averages of the generic ballot (Decision Desk HQ, FiftyPlusOne, NBC News, RealClearPolitics, Silver Bulletin), November 3, 2026. Past years are the national House vote of 2008, 2010, 2018, 2022, 2024. Moving the slider moves every race by the same number of points; the Senate and House marks on it are where each chamber changes hands, and a tap on a candidate holds that race wherever the slider goes. The chances and election night are pretend runs that add a random miss for the whole country (about 3 points) and for each race (about 5), numbers I chose. The faded seats in the Senate are not on the ballot this year. Independents who sit with the Democrats count with them, and Republicans keep the Senate at 50 because the Vice President, JD Vance, breaks a 50-50 tie. This is a game built on the forecasters' numbers, not a forecast of mine.

The betting markets are what people with real money on the outcome think: Polymarket and Kalshi, read every hour. A price is a chance: 70 cents on a candidate pays a dollar if they win, so the market gives them 70 in 100. Where both price a race, the page shows the average. "Markets" on the slider is the national vote bettors expect: the middle of what Polymarket and Kalshi price for the House popular vote margin, the point with even odds above and below. "Betting favorites" sets the slider there and gives every race they price to the side they favor; a race they do not price follows the slider. "Betting odds" switches all of it off, or back on, on every page.

The closest Senate races

The 11 Senate races that the Cook Political Report rated a toss-up or leaning one way on November 2, 2026. Tap a race to see the candidates side by side.

A solid letter is a grade from recorded votes.
An outlined letter is on the same scale, for a candidate with no votes. It comes from what they have said and done.
A dash means no letter yet: no votes, and not enough said or done on these questions to grade. Tap the race to see what I found.

See every US race on November 3

Every Senate race

35 seats, each with the candidates of the two big parties.

A solid letter is a grade from recorded votes.
An outlined letter is on the same scale, for a candidate with no votes. It comes from what they have said and done.
A dash means no letter yet: no votes, and not enough said or done on these questions to grade. Tap the race to see what I found.

Every House race, by state

Every one of the 435 House seats is on the ballot. Pick a state to see each district.

Elections in other countries

Four more countries with a vote coming or just held, and where the people running stand on liberty. An outlined letter is a grade from what a politician has said and done.