Alaska Senate
Dan Sullivan (R) holds this seat and is running again. 4 candidates were on the ballot on November 3, 2026. The Cook Political Report rates it a toss-up.
What the betting markets sayprices of Nov 9
98% Mary PeltolaDan S. Sullivan 2%
Polymarket and Kalshi, $19.5M bet. A price is a chance: 98 cents on Peltola pays a dollar if they win.

Dan S. Sullivan
Republican · holds this seat today
ALiberty Score AOn the liberty side in 82 of 83 votes and bills.
Raised $11,508,274 since January 2025: 50% from people, 30% transfers and other income, 20% from PACs and other committees. The filing at FEC.gov
Gerald Heikes
Republican · republican perennial candidate from palmer, alaska
No gradeNothing on recordI have no votes in Congress to count for Heikes, and I found nothing Heikes has said or done on any of these questions: no campaign positions and no interview I could check. I went through it on October 18.

Mary Peltola
Democrat · Former representative, in Congress 2022 to 2025
DLiberty Score DOn the liberty side in 34 of 48 votes and bills, cast from 2021 to 2025.
Dan J. Sullivan
Republican · retired teacher from petersburg, alaska
No gradeNo grade yetI have no votes in Congress to count for Sullivan, and what Sullivan has said and done settles only 2 of my principles. I went through it on October 31. A grade needs 4.
Voting in Alaska: how to register, vote early or vote by mail. Election Day was November 3.
Side by side
A solid letter is a grade from recorded votes on that principle. An outlined letter is on the same scale, for a candidate with no votes: it comes from what that candidate has said and done, and every source is listed below.
Dan J. Sullivan, on the record
I have no votes in Congress to count for Sullivan, so the grade above comes from this list: what Sullivan has said and done on my principles. Each line has its source, and each is marked with the same test I use for votes.
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In a prepared statement after the primary he called the war with the Islamic Republic ill-conceived.
“we are involved in an ill-conceived war with Iran”
- By the test I use for votes
- Against liberty
Condemning the military action against the regime is the against side of this measure.
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In an interview he said the tariffs were not effective and raised prices on many things.
“It seems like we went in with a hammer and just started smashing things. To my mind, they weren't very effective, they raised the price on lots of things.”
- By the test I use for votes
- With liberty
Opposing broad tariffs is with liberty on free markets.
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In the same statement he criticised the trade war with Canada.
“a bewildering trade war with Canada”
- By the test I use for votes
- With liberty
Opposing broad tariffs on an ally is the with side of this measure.
Who is on the ballot: the state election offices, as listed on Wikipedia on November 3, 2026, checked against the candidate file of the Federal Election Commission. Race rating: the Cook Political Report, November 2, 2026. See a name that is wrong or missing? Say so in the discussion.
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Alaska Senate
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