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California 23rd District

Jay Obernolte (R) holds this seat and is running again. 2 candidates were on the ballot on November 3, 2026.

What the betting markets sayprices of Nov 9

2% Tessa Lynn HodgeJay Obernolte 98%

Polymarket, $286K bet. A price is a chance: 2 cents on Hodge pays a dollar if they win.

Who should win this race, and why?Say what you think. Other readers can answer you.Discuss
  • Jay Obernolte

    Republican · holds this seat today

    A
    Liberty Score A

    On the liberty side in 114 of 122 votes and bills.

    Raised $1,854,658 since January 2025: 60% from PACs and other committees, 33% from people, 7% transfers and other income. The filing at FEC.gov

  • Tessa Lynn Hodge

    Democrat · licensed clinical social worker from the high desert

    No grade
    No grade yet

    I have no votes in Congress to count for Hodge, and what Hodge has said and done settles only 3 of my principles. I went through it on October 29. A grade needs 4.

    Raised $126,772 since January 2025: 93% from people, 7% the candidate’s own money. The filing at FEC.gov

Voting in California: how to register, vote early or vote by mail. Election Day was November 3.

Side by side

A solid letter is a grade from recorded votes on that principle. An outlined letter is on the same scale, for a candidate with no votes: it comes from what that candidate has said and done, and every source is listed below.

Confronts tyranny and terror
A
Obernolte19 of 19 votes with liberty
–
HodgeNothing on record
Stands with free nations and free peoples
C
Obernolte27 of 35 votes with liberty
F
HodgeMostly against liberty, from 3 sources
Free speech and a free mind
A
Obernolte3 of 3 votes with liberty
–
HodgeNothing on record
Free markets and free trade
A
Obernolte17 of 17 votes with liberty
F
HodgeAgainst liberty, from 1 source
One law, equal for every individual
A
Obernolte14 of 14 votes with liberty
–
HodgeNothing on record
Freedom of conscience
–
Obernolte1 of 1, too few to grade
–
HodgeNothing on record
Strong enough to stay free
A
Obernolte11 of 11 votes with liberty
?
HodgeNot clear either way, from 1 source
Citizenship and the rule of law
A
Obernolte22 of 22 votes with liberty
F
HodgeAgainst liberty, from 2 sources

Tessa Lynn Hodge, on the record

I have no votes in Congress to count for Hodge, so the grade above comes from this list: what Hodge has said and done on my principles. Each line has its source, and each is marked with the same test I use for votes.

  • October 2026 · Her campaign siteFree nations

    Her campaign site calls what is happening in Gaza a genocide that the United States is funding.

    “what is happening in gaza is a genocide.”
    By the test I use for votes
    Against liberty

    Calling Israel's war genocide is the against side of this measure.

  • October 2026 · Her campaign siteFree nations

    Her campaign site says she will call for a ceasefire, an end to funding for Israel and the repeal of anti-BDS laws.

    “i will be a voice in congress calling for an immediate ceasefire, to cease funding to israel, and for the elimination of anti-bds legislation.”
    By the test I use for votes
    Against liberty

    Cutting off aid to Israel and backing BDS by ending laws against it are the against side of this measure.

  • October 2026 · Her campaign siteFree nations

    Her campaign site says the US has alienated its allies and warns that China or Russia could fill the void left by an American retreat.

    “increases the likelihood that china or russia could step into the void left by our retreat becoming the next world leader.”
    By the test I use for votes
    With liberty

    Rejecting an American retreat that hands ground to Russia and China, and rebuilding ties with allies, is the with side of this measure.

  • October 2026 · Her campaign siteFree markets

    Her campaign site says she will fight for a single-payer health care system.

    “as your representative, i will fight for a single-payer healthcare system so everyone gets the care they need, no exceptions.”
    By the test I use for votes
    Against liberty

    Government-run health care for all is the against side of this measure.

  • October 2026 · Her campaign siteDefense

    Her campaign site says true strength is not about weapons but about relationships and fair negotiation.

    “true strength isn't about the weapons you wield or how intimidating you appear.”
    By the test I use for votes
    Not clear either way

    She names no budget or funding level for the armed forces, so this does not settle the measure.

  • October 2026 · Her campaign siteBorders

    Her campaign site supports a clear pathway to legal status for long-term residents.

    “that includes creating a clear pathway to legal status for long-term residents, protecting workers from exploitation, and keeping families together.”
    By the test I use for votes
    Against liberty

    A path to legal status for those here illegally is the against side of this measure.

  • October 2026 · Her campaign siteBorders

    Her campaign site objects that armed agents are targeting workers, families and long-term residents rather than violent criminals.

    “the current administration pledged to focus their deportation efforts on violent criminals, and instead, have unleashed armed agents to target workers, families, and long-term residents who pay taxes, contribute to our economy, and call this country home.”
    By the test I use for votes
    Against liberty

    Opposing the deportation of people here illegally who have no violent record is the against side of this measure.

Who is on the ballot: the state election offices, as listed on Wikipedia on November 3, 2026, checked against the candidate file of the Federal Election Commission. See a name that is wrong or missing? Say so in the discussion.

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California 23rd District

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