California 23rd District
Jay Obernolte (R) holds this seat and is running again. 2 candidates were on the ballot on November 3, 2026.
What the betting markets sayprices of Nov 9
2% Tessa Lynn HodgeJay Obernolte 98%
Polymarket, $286K bet. A price is a chance: 2 cents on Hodge pays a dollar if they win.

Jay Obernolte
Republican · holds this seat today
ALiberty Score AOn the liberty side in 114 of 122 votes and bills.
Raised $1,854,658 since January 2025: 60% from PACs and other committees, 33% from people, 7% transfers and other income. The filing at FEC.gov
Tessa Lynn Hodge
Democrat · licensed clinical social worker from the high desert
No gradeNo grade yetI have no votes in Congress to count for Hodge, and what Hodge has said and done settles only 3 of my principles. I went through it on October 29. A grade needs 4.
Raised $126,772 since January 2025: 93% from people, 7% the candidate’s own money. The filing at FEC.gov
Voting in California: how to register, vote early or vote by mail. Election Day was November 3.
Side by side
A solid letter is a grade from recorded votes on that principle. An outlined letter is on the same scale, for a candidate with no votes: it comes from what that candidate has said and done, and every source is listed below.
Tessa Lynn Hodge, on the record
I have no votes in Congress to count for Hodge, so the grade above comes from this list: what Hodge has said and done on my principles. Each line has its source, and each is marked with the same test I use for votes.
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Her campaign site calls what is happening in Gaza a genocide that the United States is funding.
“what is happening in gaza is a genocide.”
- By the test I use for votes
- Against liberty
Calling Israel's war genocide is the against side of this measure.
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Her campaign site says she will call for a ceasefire, an end to funding for Israel and the repeal of anti-BDS laws.
“i will be a voice in congress calling for an immediate ceasefire, to cease funding to israel, and for the elimination of anti-bds legislation.”
- By the test I use for votes
- Against liberty
Cutting off aid to Israel and backing BDS by ending laws against it are the against side of this measure.
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Her campaign site says the US has alienated its allies and warns that China or Russia could fill the void left by an American retreat.
“increases the likelihood that china or russia could step into the void left by our retreat becoming the next world leader.”
- By the test I use for votes
- With liberty
Rejecting an American retreat that hands ground to Russia and China, and rebuilding ties with allies, is the with side of this measure.
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Her campaign site says she will fight for a single-payer health care system.
“as your representative, i will fight for a single-payer healthcare system so everyone gets the care they need, no exceptions.”
- By the test I use for votes
- Against liberty
Government-run health care for all is the against side of this measure.
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Her campaign site says true strength is not about weapons but about relationships and fair negotiation.
“true strength isn't about the weapons you wield or how intimidating you appear.”
- By the test I use for votes
- Not clear either way
She names no budget or funding level for the armed forces, so this does not settle the measure.
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Her campaign site supports a clear pathway to legal status for long-term residents.
“that includes creating a clear pathway to legal status for long-term residents, protecting workers from exploitation, and keeping families together.”
- By the test I use for votes
- Against liberty
A path to legal status for those here illegally is the against side of this measure.
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Her campaign site objects that armed agents are targeting workers, families and long-term residents rather than violent criminals.
“the current administration pledged to focus their deportation efforts on violent criminals, and instead, have unleashed armed agents to target workers, families, and long-term residents who pay taxes, contribute to our economy, and call this country home.”
- By the test I use for votes
- Against liberty
Opposing the deportation of people here illegally who have no violent record is the against side of this measure.
Who is on the ballot: the state election offices, as listed on Wikipedia on November 3, 2026, checked against the candidate file of the Federal Election Commission. See a name that is wrong or missing? Say so in the discussion.
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California 23rd District
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