Washington 5th District
Michael Baumgartner (R) holds this seat and is running again. 2 candidates were on the ballot on November 3, 2026.
What the betting markets sayprices of Nov 9
2% Carmela ConroyMichael Baumgartner 98%
Polymarket, $168K bet. A price is a chance: 2 cents on Conroy pays a dollar if they win.
Michael Baumgartner
Republican · holds this seat today
ALiberty Score AOn the liberty side in 45 of 47 votes and bills.
Raised $2,208,415 since January 2025: 76% from people, 22% from PACs and other committees, 2% transfers and other income. The filing at FEC.gov
Carmela Conroy
Democrat · retired diplomat, former deputy prosecutor
FLiberty Score F41 out of 100 across 4 principles. Graded on what Conroy has said and done, because I have no votes in Congress to count for Conroy.
Raised $840,423 since January 2025: 94% from people, 3% from PACs and other committees, 1% the candidate’s own money. The filing at FEC.gov
Higher on Liberty Score: Michael Baumgartner. Michael Baumgartner: A, 94 out of 100 from recorded votes. Carmela Conroy: F, 41 out of 100 from words and actions, with no votes in Congress to count.
Voting in Washington: how to register, vote early or vote by mail. Election Day was November 3.
Side by side
A solid letter is a grade from recorded votes on that principle. An outlined letter is on the same scale, for a candidate with no votes: it comes from what that candidate has said and done, and every source is listed below.
Carmela Conroy, on the record
I have no votes in Congress to count for Conroy, so the grade above comes from this list: what Conroy has said and done on my principles. Each line has its source, and each is marked with the same test I use for votes.
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Conroy said the US must stop providing support to Israel's government, and she called for recognising a Palestinian state.
“stop providing support to a government in Israel that is violating its own laws”
- By the test I use for votes
- Against liberty
Calling to cut support over Israel's conduct is on the against side.
-
In 2024 she said a 20 percent tariff on consumer goods would raise prices.
“tariffs of 20% on consumer goods would cause already inflated prices to soar”
- By the test I use for votes
- With liberty
Opposing broad tariffs sits with liberty on free markets.
-
In 2024 she called for taxing the hyper wealthy more.
“We need equitable taxation so the hyper wealthy contribute fairly to the systems that they have benefited from”
- By the test I use for votes
- Against liberty
Higher taxes on the wealthy is against liberty on free markets.
-
Conroy supports moving toward a single-payer health system.
“moving towards”
- By the test I use for votes
- Against liberty
A government-run health system for all is on the against side; the page quotes only these two words, with the rest as reporter's wording.
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Her campaign site says she would end the tariffs to cut consumer and business prices.
“End the tariff chaos. That will cut prices for consumers and for businesses, both importers and exporters.”
- By the test I use for votes
- With liberty
Opposing broad tariffs sits with liberty on free markets.
-
Her campaign site says public money must not be used in violation of the separation of church and state.
“Ensure public funds are not used in violation of the separation of church and state.”
- By the test I use for votes
- With liberty
Keeping religion out of publicly funded schooling and government is with liberty on conscience.
-
Her campaign site calls for ending funding of military operations she describes as aggressive or illegal, without naming a budget figure.
“Defund aggressive and otherwise illegal military operations, support, and planning.”
- By the test I use for votes
- Not clear either way
It targets certain operations, not the defence budget as a whole, so it does not settle the measure.
-
In a 2024 voter guide answer she said the United States needs strong and secure borders.
“The United States needs strong and secure borders to keep our citizens safe.”
- By the test I use for votes
- With liberty
Calling for a secure border is the with side of the migration measure.
-
In the same 2024 answer she called for immigration reform for people already living and working in US communities.
“As we are working on border security, we need to pass immigration reform for the immigrants living and working in our communities.”
- By the test I use for votes
- Against liberty
Legal status reform for people here without papers is the amnesty or path side of the measure.
-
Conroy said Congress needs to dismantle the Department of Homeland Security, which oversees ICE.
“dismantle and behead”
- By the test I use for votes
- Not clear either way
Her words name the department, not ICE or deportations, so they do not settle the measure.
-
Her campaign site calls for cutting off funding for immigration detention centers.
“Defund construction and operation of detention centers as fast as humanely possible.”
- By the test I use for votes
- Against liberty
Defunding detention is opposition to enforcement of immigration law, which the measure puts on the against side.
Who is on the ballot: the state election offices, as listed on Wikipedia on November 3, 2026, checked against the candidate file of the Federal Election Commission. See a name that is wrong or missing? Say so in the discussion.
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Washington 5th District
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