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← Texas on November 3

Texas 31st District

John Carter (R) holds this seat and is running again. 3 candidates were on the ballot on November 3, 2026.

Who should win this race, and why?Say what you think. Other readers can answer you.Discuss
  • John Carter

    Republican · holds this seat today

    A
    Liberty Score A

    On the liberty side in 116 of 121 votes and bills.

    Raised $1,522,250 since January 2025: 37% from PACs and other committees, 35% transfers and other income, 28% from people. The filing at FEC.gov

  • Justin Early

    Democrat · Army veteran, cybersecurity architect at Dell

    No grade
    No grade yet

    I have no votes in Congress to count for Early, and what Early has said and done settles only 3 of my principles. I went through it on October 24. A grade needs 4.

    Raised $291,880 since January 2025: 82% from people, 15% the candidate’s own money, 3% from PACs and other committees. The filing at FEC.gov

Voting in Texas: how to register, vote early or vote by mail. Election Day was November 3.

Side by side

A solid letter is a grade from recorded votes on that principle. An outlined letter is on the same scale, for a candidate with no votes: it comes from what that candidate has said and done, and every source is listed below.

Confronts tyranny and terror
A
Carter18 of 18 votes with liberty
–
EarlyNothing on record
Stands with free nations and free peoples
B+
Carter28 of 32 votes with liberty
–
EarlyNothing on record
Free speech and a free mind
A
Carter3 of 3 votes with liberty
?
EarlyNot clear either way, from 1 source
Free markets and free trade
A
Carter20 of 20 votes with liberty
F
EarlyAgainst liberty, from 2 sources
One law, equal for every individual
A
Carter14 of 14 votes with liberty
–
EarlyNothing on record
Freedom of conscience
–
Carter1 of 1, too few to grade
A
EarlyWith liberty, from 1 source
Strong enough to stay free
B
Carter10 of 11 votes with liberty
–
EarlyNothing on record
Citizenship and the rule of law
A
Carter22 of 22 votes with liberty
F
EarlyAgainst liberty, from 3 sources

Justin Early, on the record

I have no votes in Congress to count for Early, so the grade above comes from this list: what Early has said and done on my principles. Each line has its source, and each is marked with the same test I use for votes.

  • October 2026 · His campaign siteFree speech

    Says he will work to keep AI from being used to manipulate elections or spread disinformation.

    “Ensure AI is not used to manipulate elections or spread disinformation.”
    By the test I use for votes
    Not clear either way

    It names disinformation but sets out no law on lawful speech or pressure on platforms, so it does not settle the measure.

  • October 2026 · His campaign siteFree markets

    Proposes removing the income cap on Social Security contributions so the wealthy pay in on all income.

    “Let’s remove the income cap so billionaires pay into the program like everyone else.”
    By the test I use for votes
    Against liberty

    Raising a tax on high earners is against liberty on free markets.

  • October 2026 · His campaign siteFree markets

    Says working people should not pay more in taxes than billionaires and wants the tax burden shifted onto those who can afford it.

    “Let’s shift the tax burden off working families and onto those who can afford it.”
    By the test I use for votes
    Not clear either way

    No tax is named here; his named tax line (removing the Social Security income cap) is already counted on the against side.

  • October 2026 · His campaign siteConscience

    Says public money belongs in public schools and should not be diverted to private or religious institutions.

    “Public dollars belong in public schools, not diverted to unaccountable private or religious institutions.”
    By the test I use for votes
    With liberty

    Refusing public money for religious institutions follows the with side (no public money for religion); the line is about school vouchers, so it is a narrow settle.

  • October 2026 · His campaign siteBorders

    Pledges to protect Dreamers and other vulnerable immigrant communities from deportation.

    “Protect Dreamers and other vulnerable immigrant communities from deportation.”
    By the test I use for votes
    Against liberty

    Opposing deportations of those here illegally is against liberty on borders.

  • October 2026 · His campaign siteBorders

    Pledges to end the use of private detention facilities for immigrants.

    “End the use of private detention facilities for immigrants.”
    By the test I use for votes
    Against liberty

    Ending detention of immigrants works against enforcement, against liberty on borders.

  • October 2026 · His campaign siteBorders

    Calls the 2017 travel ban a Muslim ban and pledges to end travel bans based on religion or nationality.

    “Policies like the Muslim ban tarnish America’s global reputation and violate our core principles of equality and justice.”
    By the test I use for votes
    Against liberty

    Calling travel limits a Muslim ban is against liberty on borders.

Also on the ballot

Greg Stoker (Green).

Who is on the ballot: the state election offices, as listed on Wikipedia on November 3, 2026, checked against the candidate file of the Federal Election Commission. See a name that is wrong or missing? Say so in the discussion.

Who should win this race, and why?

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Texas 31st District

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