North Carolina 3rd District
Greg Murphy (R) holds this seat and is running again. 3 candidates were on the ballot on November 3, 2026.
What the betting markets sayprices of Nov 9
85% Raymond Smith Jr.Greg Murphy 15%
Polymarket, $1.3M bet. A price is a chance: 85 cents on Jr. pays a dollar if they win.

Greg Murphy
Republican · holds this seat today
ALiberty Score AOn the liberty side in 109 of 114 votes and bills.
Raised $2,897,749 since January 2025: 43% from PACs and other committees, 41% from people, 16% transfers and other income. The filing at FEC.gov

Raymond Smith Jr.
Democrat · former state representative, Army veteran
No gradeNo grade yetI have no votes in Congress to count for Smith, and what Smith has said and done settles only 1 of my principles. I went through it on October 26. A grade needs 4.
Raised $366,581 since January 2025: 87% from people, 10% from PACs and other committees, 3% transfers and other income. The filing at FEC.gov
Voting in North Carolina: how to register, vote early or vote by mail. Election Day was November 3.
Side by side
A solid letter is a grade from recorded votes on that principle. An outlined letter is on the same scale, for a candidate with no votes: it comes from what that candidate has said and done, and every source is listed below.
Raymond Smith Jr., on the record
I have no votes in Congress to count for Smith, so the grade above comes from this list: what Smith has said and done on my principles. Each line has its source, and each is marked with the same test I use for votes.
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Says the President's tariffs are damaging to the country and should end.
“Those tariffs are damaging to this country.”
- By the test I use for votes
- With liberty
Opposing broad tariffs is the opposite of against liberty on free markets, which lists broad tariffs.
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Says a tax cut on its own cannot produce prosperity; names no specific tax.
“under no circumstances can a tax cut in and of itself result in prosperity”
- By the test I use for votes
- Not clear either way
No tax or rate is named, so the words do not settle the measure.
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His platform says he will improve the VA and address the base housing crisis for service members.
“By improving the VA, expanding childcare access for the families of service members, and addressing the base housing crisis, we can ensure that we can protect those who risked their lives to protect our country.”
- By the test I use for votes
- Not clear either way
Benefits and housing for service members do not say whether he would fund or cut the defence budget, so the measure is not settled.
Also on the ballot
Daniel Cavender (Libertarian).
Who is on the ballot: the state election offices, as listed on Wikipedia on November 3, 2026, checked against the candidate file of the Federal Election Commission. See a name that is wrong or missing? Say so in the discussion.
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North Carolina 3rd District
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