Florida 7th District
Cory Mills (R) lost the primary. 3 candidates were on the ballot on November 3, 2026.
What the betting markets sayprices of Nov 9
1% Bale DaltonRyan Elijah 99%
Polymarket, $149K bet. A price is a chance: 1 cents on Dalton pays a dollar if they win.
Bale Dalton
Democrat · Navy reserve captain, former NASA chief of staff
FLiberty Score F48 out of 100 across 5 principles. Graded on what Dalton has said and done, because I have no votes in Congress to count for Dalton.
Raised $2,334,664 since January 2025: 84% from people, 14% from PACs and other committees, 2% transfers and other income. The filing at FEC.gov
Ryan Elijah
Republican · former TV news anchor
ALiberty Score A100 out of 100 across 4 principles. Graded on what Elijah has said and done, because I have no votes in Congress to count for Elijah.
Raised $818,460 since January 2025: 64% from people, 16% the candidate’s own money, 15% from PACs and other committees. The filing at FEC.gov
Higher on Liberty Score: Ryan Elijah. Ryan Elijah: A, 100 out of 100 from words and actions, with no votes in Congress to count. Bale Dalton: F, 48 out of 100 from words and actions, with no votes in Congress to count.
Voting in Florida: how to register, vote early or vote by mail. Election Day was November 3.
Side by side
A solid letter is a grade from recorded votes on that principle. An outlined letter is on the same scale, for a candidate with no votes: it comes from what that candidate has said and done, and every source is listed below.
Bale Dalton, on the record
I have no votes in Congress to count for Dalton, so the grade above comes from this list: what Dalton has said and done on my principles. Each line has its source, and each is marked with the same test I use for votes.
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His campaign site criticises the war with the Islamic Republic as rudderless and blames it for higher gas prices.
“he championed the rudderless war with Iran that made our gas prices in Florida go through the roof”
- By the test I use for votes
- Against liberty
Condemning action against the regime is on the against side of the Iran regime measure; the page also does not call for pressure on the Islamic Republic.
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Asked whether he would join House Democrats who voted to condition or cut arms to Israel, said that past proposals cut defensive systems like the Iron Dome and that he opposes blanket restrictions.
“my concern is that what has been offered previously also cuts defensive measures like the Iron Dome.”
- By the test I use for votes
- With liberty
Declining to back the proposals to condition or cut weapons to Israel follows the with side, though he said more specific measures should be looked at.
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Said he opposes the Trump administration's tariffs, which he says are hurting families and small businesses.
“I think they're crushing American families and small businesses, and oppose those tariffs.”
- By the test I use for votes
- With liberty
Broad tariffs are against liberty on free markets, so opposing them is with.
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His campaign site says he supports government negotiation of drug prices.
“I support negotiating drug prices in the United States - like every other wealthy country does - to keep Americans from being ripped off.”
- By the test I use for votes
- Against liberty
Government-set prices are against liberty on free markets.
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Said he will vote no on Florida's Amendment 3 to cut property taxes.
“I will vote no on Amendment 3.”
- By the test I use for votes
- Against liberty
Opposing a large tax cut is against liberty on free markets (lower taxes is with).
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Asked directly about transgender girls in girls' sports, said boys should not play in girls' sports or use girls' locker rooms.
“I do not think that boys should be playing in girls' sports, and I don't think boys have any business being in girls' locker rooms”
- By the test I use for votes
- With liberty
Keeping women's sport female follows the with side of the race and gender ideology measure.
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Answering a voter-guide question on immigration, said he supports a comprehensive approach that includes a pathway to citizenship for Dreamers.
“I support a comprehensive approach to immigration that secures our border and provides a pathway to citizenship for Dreamers.”
- By the test I use for votes
- Against liberty
A path to citizenship for people brought here illegally is against liberty on borders, whatever else the answer says about the border.
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In the same answer, said border security is national security and that the law must be enforced lawfully.
“border security is national security”
- By the test I use for votes
- With liberty
Treating border security as a national security matter follows the with side (secure the border), though the answer names no enforcement step.
Ryan Elijah, on the record
I have no votes in Congress to count for Elijah, so the grade above comes from this list: what Elijah has said and done on my principles. Each line has its source, and each is marked with the same test I use for votes.
-
Said the conflict with the Islamic Republic should be drawn down while making sure Iran is not a nuclear threat.
“I think we need to draw this conflict down. And we need to make sure that Iran is not a nuclear threat.”
- By the test I use for votes
- Not clear either way
Stopping a nuclear Iran is with, winding down the action is not, and he does not say which wins, so I leave it not clear.
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Said he supports Israel as a key ally, within an America first approach, and that he is not taking AIPAC money.
“America first means you can support Israel, because it supports American interests.”
- By the test I use for votes
- With liberty
Treating Israel as an ally follows the with side, though he said the support is not unconditional.
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His campaign site says a stronger economy comes from lower taxes and less regulation.
“By unleashing the world's best economy through lower taxes, less regulation, and smart growth, we will make America more affordable and prosperous for millions of Americans.”
- By the test I use for votes
- With liberty
Lower taxes and less regulation is with liberty on free markets.
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His campaign site says the military must remain the strongest and best equipped in the world.
“we must ensure that the U.S. military remains the strongest and best-equipped fighting force in the world, backed by the most advanced technology”
- By the test I use for votes
- With liberty
Calling for a well-equipped, technologically advanced force is with liberty on defense, though he names no budget figure.
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His campaign site says to secure the borders and oppose measures that weaken immigration enforcement.
“we must continue to secure our borders and oppose any measures that weaken enforcement or prioritize non-citizens over American safety”
- By the test I use for votes
- With liberty
Securing the border and enforcing the law is with liberty on borders.
Also on the ballot
Christopher Dennison (Libertarian).
Who is on the ballot: the state election offices, as listed on Wikipedia on November 3, 2026, checked against the candidate file of the Federal Election Commission. See a name that is wrong or missing? Say so in the discussion.
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Florida 7th District
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