Florida 26th District
Mario Díaz-Balart (R) holds this seat and is running again. 3 candidates were on the ballot on November 3, 2026.
What the betting markets sayprices of Nov 9
1% Nicole LocklinMario Díaz-Balart 99%
Polymarket, $183K bet. A price is a chance: 1 cents on Locklin pays a dollar if they win.

Mario Díaz-Balart
Republican · holds this seat today
ALiberty Score AOn the liberty side in 117 of 124 votes and bills.
Raised $2,763,196 since January 2025: 57% from people, 42% from PACs and other committees. The filing at FEC.gov
Nicole Locklin
Democrat · attorney, Democratic nominee for Florida's 26th district
No gradeNo grade yetI have no votes in Congress to count for Locklin, and what Locklin has said and done settles only 3 of my principles. I went through it on October 30. A grade needs 4.
Raised $599,527 since January 2025: 58% from people, 42% the candidate’s own money. The filing at FEC.gov
Voting in Florida: how to register, vote early or vote by mail. Election Day was November 3.
Side by side
A solid letter is a grade from recorded votes on that principle. An outlined letter is on the same scale, for a candidate with no votes: it comes from what that candidate has said and done, and every source is listed below.
Nicole Locklin, on the record
I have no votes in Congress to count for Locklin, so the grade above comes from this list: what Locklin has said and done on my principles. Each line has its source, and each is marked with the same test I use for votes.
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Says on her Iran War page that the military should be spared from an illegal and deadly war, after describing a missile strike on a school in Minab, Iran.
“We must also protect our military by sparing them from an illegal and deadly war.”
- By the test I use for votes
- Not clear either way
The quote does not itself name Iran or a policy such as sanctions, a deal or a war powers resolution, so it does not settle the measure.
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Calls the war in Gaza after 7 October a genocide on her campaign's Palestine page.
“Our campaign is not afraid to condemn the horrific actions of October 7th and also the subsequent genocide.”
- By the test I use for votes
- Against liberty
Calling Israel's war genocide is against liberty on free nations.
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Calls for strict human-rights conditions on aid to Israel and says the United States cannot keep sending weapons.
“That means immediate transparency on what weapons are being transferred, strict human-rights conditions on aid, full enforcement of existing U.S. law, and support for independent investigations and accountability mechanisms.”
- By the test I use for votes
- Against liberty
Conditioning weapons or aid to Israel on human rights is against liberty on free nations.
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On her healthcare page, said she supports guaranteed care for everyone through Medicare for All or another route to universal coverage.
“Nicole supports the fastest responsible path to guaranteed care for every American: Medicare for All, a strong public option, Medicare buy-in, or any model that gets us to universal coverage.”
- By the test I use for votes
- Against liberty
Government-run health care for all is against liberty on free markets.
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On her homepage, pledged to tax extreme wealth and raise what large corporations pay.
“I will fight to tax extreme wealth, make large corporations pay what they owe”
- By the test I use for votes
- Against liberty
A wealth tax and higher corporate taxes are against liberty on free markets.
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Her immigration page is headed with a call to abolish ICE.
“ABOLISH I.C.E.”
- By the test I use for votes
- Against liberty
Abolishing ICE is named against liberty on borders.
Also on the ballot
Deborah Ann Meidinger Hosey (Independent).
Who is on the ballot: the state election offices, as listed on Wikipedia on November 3, 2026, checked against the candidate file of the Federal Election Commission. See a name that is wrong or missing? Say so in the discussion.
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Florida 26th District
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