Arizona 2nd District
Eli Crane (R) holds this seat and is running again. 3 candidates were on the ballot on November 3, 2026.
What the betting markets sayprices of Nov 9
1% Jonathan NezEli Crane 99%
Polymarket and Kalshi, $1.1M bet. A price is a chance: 1 cents on Nez pays a dollar if they win.
Eli Crane
Republican · holds this seat today
B-Liberty Score B-On the liberty side in 84 of 101 votes and bills.
Raised $11,904,946 since January 2025: 92% from people, 7% transfers and other income, 1% from PACs and other committees. The filing at FEC.gov
Jonathan Nez
Democrat · former navajo nation president, 2024 nominee
No gradeNo grade yetI have no votes in Congress to count for Nez, and what Nez has said and done settles only 2 of my principles. I went through it on October 31. A grade needs 4.
Raised $5,805,341 since January 2025: 92% from people, 6% from PACs and other committees, 2% transfers and other income. The filing at FEC.gov
Voting in Arizona: how to register, vote early or vote by mail. Election Day was November 3.
Side by side
A solid letter is a grade from recorded votes on that principle. An outlined letter is on the same scale, for a candidate with no votes: it comes from what that candidate has said and done, and every source is listed below.
Jonathan Nez, on the record
I have no votes in Congress to count for Nez, so the grade above comes from this list: what Nez has said and done on my principles. Each line has its source, and each is marked with the same test I use for votes.
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Responding to the president's remarks about Pope Leo XIV, he called for diplomacy in the conflict with the Islamic Republic.
“the ongoing conflict in iran demands thoughtful leadership, diplomacy, and a commitment to protecting all human life.”
- By the test I use for votes
- Not clear either way
A call for diplomacy that names no deal or sanctions policy does not settle the measure on its own.
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His campaign criticised Crane for voting again to continue the war with the Islamic Republic and called on him to end it.
“crane is choosing to support a war in iran that's stretching arizona families thin and unnecessarily putting our military at risk”
- By the test I use for votes
- Against liberty
Opposing military action against the regime and votes to continue it is on the against side of the Iran regime measure.
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He said Congress should roll back the president's sweeping tariffs to lower costs.
“and that includes rolling back these sweeping tariffs, which have hurt businesses and families alike.”
- By the test I use for votes
- With liberty
Broad tariffs are against liberty on free markets, so rolling them back is on the with side.
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Ahead of Labor Day his campaign said his agenda calls for reversing erratic tariff policies that raised the cost of goods.
- By the test I use for votes
- With liberty
Reversing broad tariffs is with liberty on free markets.
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He pledged a bill to take back the 2025 tax breaks for data centers and spend the money on water technology and a working-class tax cut.
“i will use that money to invest in water conservation technologies and a working-class tax cut, the way it should be spent.”
- By the test I use for votes
- Not clear either way
Raising taxes on one industry to cut them for workers points both ways, so the line does not settle the measure.
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In 2024 he said voters in the district care more about prices than immigration, and that asking a Native American about immigration is disrespectful.
“when you ask a native american what they think about immigration, you know, i think that's very disrespectful”
- By the test I use for votes
- Not clear either way
Declining to state a position on immigration does not settle the measure.
Also on the ballot
Curtis Goodwin (Libertarian).
Who is on the ballot: the state election offices, as listed on Wikipedia on November 3, 2026, checked against the candidate file of the Federal Election Commission. See a name that is wrong or missing? Say so in the discussion.
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Arizona 2nd District
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